CMM
Commander Masters
Commander Masters Draft Booster
▲
+0.17%
since last update
| Box EV $399.54 | Pack EV $16.65 | Packs per Box 24 | Last Updated Jun 7, 2025 |
Key Statistics
| Box Expected Value: |
$399.54
$327
$400
$472
|
|---|---|
| Pack Expected Value: |
$16.65
Deviation: ±$14.85
|
| Packs per Box: | 24 |
EV Trend
| Percent Change: |
▲
+0.17%
|
| Dollar Change: |
▲
+$0.68
|
Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales
| Sale Price (S): | $0.00 |
| Seller Fee: | -$0.00 (0.00%) |
| Net EV After Fees: | $0.00 |
Fee Visualization
Top-20 Value Contributors
| # | Card Name | $/Pack | $/Box | % Pack EV | % Box EV | Rarity | Foil? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cyclonic Rift | $0.57 | $13.75 | 3.4% | 3.4% | Rare | No |
| 2 | Deflecting Swat | $0.54 | $12.85 | 3.2% | 3.2% | Rare | No |
| 3 | Fierce Guardianship | $0.45 | $10.85 | 2.7% | 2.7% | Rare | No |
| 4 | Ashnod's Altar | $0.38 | $9.24 | 2.3% | 2.3% | Uncommon | No |
| 5 | The Great Henge | $0.38 | $9.01 | 2.3% | 2.3% | Mythic | Yes |
| 6 | Purphoros, God of the Forge | $0.28 | $6.74 | 1.7% | 1.7% | Mythic | Yes |
| 7 | The Ur-Dragon | $0.28 | $6.68 | 1.7% | 1.7% | Mythic | No |
| 8 | Fierce Guardianship | $0.25 | $5.98 | 1.5% | 1.5% | Rare | No |
| 9 | Avacyn, Angel of Hope | $0.25 | $6.06 | 1.5% | 1.5% | Mythic | No |
| 10 | Doubling Season | $0.24 | $5.78 | 1.4% | 1.4% | Mythic | No |
| 11 | Hammer of Nazahn | $0.24 | $5.74 | 1.4% | 1.4% | Rare | No |
| 12 | Demonic Tutor | $0.23 | $5.42 | 1.4% | 1.4% | Mythic | No |
| 13 | Land Tax | $0.21 | $5.06 | 1.3% | 1.3% | Mythic | Yes |
| 14 | Deflecting Swat | $0.21 | $5.16 | 1.3% | 1.3% | Rare | No |
| 15 | Lightning Greaves | $0.19 | $4.59 | 1.1% | 1.1% | Uncommon | No |
| 16 | Archfiend of Despair | $0.19 | $4.59 | 1.1% | 1.1% | Mythic | No |
| 17 | Finale of Devastation | $0.19 | $4.56 | 1.1% | 1.1% | Mythic | No |
| 18 | Heroic Intervention | $0.18 | $4.26 | 1.1% | 1.1% | Rare | No |
| 19 | Deadly Rollick | $0.17 | $4.03 | 1.0% | 1.0% | Rare | No |
| 20 | Smothering Tithe | $0.17 | $4.17 | 1.0% | 1.0% | Mythic | No |
These top 20 cards contribute 33.7% of the box's total Expected Value.
Understanding EV Calculation & Trends
The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:
- Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
- Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
- Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
- Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices
Variance & Confidence
The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.
EV Trend Analysis
Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:
- Green values indicate an increase.
- Red values indicate a decrease.
- Gray indicates no significant change.
Note: EV is a statistical expectation based on probabilities and market data. It's a powerful tool for analysis, but actual results from opening a box will vary due to randomness. Prices are sourced from TCGPlayer Market Prices (Normal/Foil) - Stratified Sampling.