BFZ

Battle for Zendikar

Battle for Zendikar Draft Booster

▲ +0.03%
since last update
Box EV $81.86 ±$18.85 Pack EV $2.27 ±$3.14 Packs per Box 36 Last Updated May 29, 2025

Key Statistics

Box Expected Value: $81.86
$63 $82 $101
Pack Expected Value: $2.27
Deviation: ±$3.14
Packs per Box: 36

EV Trend

Percent Change:
▲ +0.03%
Dollar Change:
▲ +$0.02

Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales

Sale Price (S): $0.00
Seller Fee: -$0.00 (0.00%)
Net EV After Fees: $0.00
Fee Visualization

Top-20 Value Contributors

#Card Name$/Pack$/Box% Pack EV% Box EVRarityFoil?
1 Void Winnower $0.19 $6.71 8.2% 8.2% Mythic Yes
2 Ulamog, the Ceaseless Hunger $0.16 $5.62 6.9% 6.9% Mythic No
3 Conduit of Ruin $0.09 $3.08 3.8% 3.8% Rare No
4 Felidar Sovereign $0.06 $2.12 2.6% 2.6% Rare No
5 Sanctum of Ugin $0.05 $1.75 2.1% 2.1% Rare No
6 Zulaport Cutthroat $0.04 $1.45 1.8% 1.8% Uncommon No
7 Dispel $0.03 $1.14 1.4% 1.4% Common No
8 Emeria Shepherd $0.03 $1.01 1.2% 1.2% Rare No
9 Mortuary Mire $0.02 $0.74 0.9% 0.9% Common No
10 Eldrazi Devastator $0.02 $0.61 0.8% 0.8% Common No
11 Retreat to Coralhelm $0.02 $0.62 0.8% 0.8% Uncommon No
12 Drana's Emissary $0.02 $0.58 0.7% 0.7% Uncommon No
13 Bane of Bala Ged $0.02 $0.55 0.7% 0.7% Uncommon No
14 Retreat to Hagra $0.02 $0.74 0.9% 0.9% Uncommon No
15 From Beyond $0.02 $0.71 0.9% 0.9% Rare No
16 Sire of Stagnation $0.02 $0.56 0.7% 0.7% Mythic No
17 Herald of Kozilek $0.02 $0.84 1.0% 1.0% Uncommon No
18 Kiora, Master of the Depths $0.02 $0.56 0.7% 0.7% Mythic No
19 Forest $0.01 $0.38 0.5% 0.5% Common No
20 Rush of Ice $0.01 $0.27 0.3% 0.3% Common No

These top 20 cards contribute 36.7% of the box's total Expected Value.

Understanding EV Calculation & Trends

The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:

  • Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
  • Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
  • Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
  • Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices

Variance & Confidence

The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.

EV Trend Analysis

Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:

  • Green values indicate an increase.
  • Red values indicate a decrease.
  • Gray indicates no significant change.