AVR
Avacyn Restored
Avacyn Restored Draft Booster
—
0.00%
since last update
Box EV $194.82 | Pack EV $5.41 | Packs per Box 36 | Last Updated May 29, 2025 |
Key Statistics
Box Expected Value: |
$194.82
$149
$195
$241
|
---|---|
Pack Expected Value: |
$5.41
Deviation: ±$7.68
|
Packs per Box: | 36 |
EV Trend
Percent Change: |
—
0.00%
|
Dollar Change: |
▲
+$0.01
|
Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales
Sale Price (S): | $0.00 |
Seller Fee: | -$0.00 (0.00%) |
Net EV After Fees: | $0.00 |
Fee Visualization
Top-20 Value Contributors
# | Card Name | $/Pack | $/Box | % Pack EV | % Box EV | Rarity | Foil? |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Cavern of Souls | $0.64 | $22.98 | 11.8% | 11.8% | Rare | No |
2 | Exquisite Blood | $0.42 | $15.14 | 7.8% | 7.8% | Rare | No |
3 | Avacyn, Angel of Hope | $0.33 | $11.95 | 6.1% | 6.1% | Mythic | No |
4 | Angel of Jubilation | $0.27 | $9.86 | 5.1% | 5.1% | Rare | No |
5 | Battle Hymn | $0.20 | $7.22 | 3.7% | 3.7% | Common | No |
6 | Craterhoof Behemoth | $0.15 | $5.51 | 2.8% | 2.8% | Mythic | No |
7 | Seraph Sanctuary | $0.14 | $5.21 | 2.7% | 2.7% | Common | No |
8 | Ghostly Flicker | $0.14 | $5.01 | 2.6% | 2.6% | Common | No |
9 | Ulvenwald Tracker | $0.12 | $4.15 | 2.1% | 2.1% | Rare | Yes |
10 | Cathars' Crusade | $0.11 | $4.01 | 2.1% | 2.1% | Rare | No |
11 | Mass Appeal | $0.09 | $3.39 | 1.7% | 1.7% | Uncommon | No |
12 | Descendants' Path | $0.09 | $3.07 | 1.6% | 1.6% | Rare | No |
13 | Conjurer's Closet | $0.09 | $3.31 | 1.7% | 1.7% | Rare | No |
14 | Cloudshift | $0.08 | $3.04 | 1.6% | 1.6% | Common | No |
15 | Herald of War | $0.07 | $2.46 | 1.3% | 1.3% | Rare | No |
16 | Blood Artist | $0.06 | $2.09 | 1.1% | 1.1% | Uncommon | No |
17 | Griselbrand | $0.06 | $2.13 | 1.1% | 1.1% | Mythic | No |
18 | Reforge the Soul | $0.06 | $2.05 | 1.1% | 1.1% | Rare | No |
19 | Primal Surge | $0.06 | $2.08 | 1.1% | 1.1% | Mythic | No |
20 | Deadeye Navigator | $0.05 | $1.91 | 1.0% | 1.0% | Rare | No |
These top 20 cards contribute 59.8% of the box's total Expected Value.
Understanding EV Calculation & Trends
The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:
- Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
- Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
- Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
- Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices
Variance & Confidence
The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.
EV Trend Analysis
Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:
- Green values indicate an increase.
- Red values indicate a decrease.
- Gray indicates no significant change.
Note: EV is a statistical expectation based on probabilities and market data. It's a powerful tool for analysis, but actual results from opening a box will vary due to randomness. Prices are sourced from TCGPlayer Market Prices (Normal/Foil) - Stratified Sampling.