AFR

Adventures in the Forgotten Realms

Adventures in the Forgotten Realms Set Booster

▲ +0.92%
since last update
Box EV $139.13 ±$33.64 Pack EV $4.64 ±$6.14 Packs per Box 30 Last Updated Jun 7, 2025

Key Statistics

Box Expected Value: $139.13
$105 $139 $173
Pack Expected Value: $4.64
Deviation: ±$6.14
Packs per Box: 30

EV Trend

Percent Change:
▲ +0.92%
Dollar Change:
▲ +$1.27

Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales

Sale Price (S): $0.00
Seller Fee: -$0.00 (0.00%)
Net EV After Fees: $0.00
Fee Visualization

Top-20 Value Contributors

#Card Name$/Pack$/Box% Pack EV% Box EVRarityFoil?
1 Old Gnawbone $0.42 $12.51 9.0% 9.0% Mythic No
2 Tiamat $0.26 $7.71 5.5% 5.5% Mythic No
3 Delina, Wild Mage $0.22 $6.66 4.8% 4.8% Rare No
4 Teleportation Circle $0.19 $5.74 4.1% 4.1% Rare No
5 Fighter Class $0.16 $4.67 3.4% 3.4% Rare No
6 Circle of Dreams Druid $0.13 $4.05 2.9% 2.9% Rare No
7 Xorn $0.10 $3.15 2.3% 2.3% Rare No
8 Guardian of Faith $0.08 $2.37 1.7% 1.7% Rare No
9 Unexpected Windfall $0.07 $2.05 1.5% 1.5% Common No
10 Druid Class $0.06 $1.87 1.4% 1.4% Uncommon No
11 Hobgoblin Bandit Lord $0.06 $1.78 1.3% 1.3% Rare No
12 Tasha's Hideous Laughter $0.06 $1.95 1.4% 1.4% Rare No
13 Cleric Class $0.05 $1.57 1.1% 1.1% Uncommon No
14 The Deck of Many Things $0.05 $1.48 1.1% 1.1% Mythic No
15 Orb of Dragonkind $0.05 $1.48 1.1% 1.1% Rare No
16 The Book of Exalted Deeds $0.05 $1.44 1.0% 1.0% Mythic No
17 Lolth, Spider Queen $0.04 $1.25 0.9% 0.9% Mythic No
18 Wizard Class $0.04 $1.35 1.0% 1.0% Uncommon No
19 Feign Death $0.04 $1.22 0.9% 0.9% Common Yes
20 Flumph $0.04 $1.06 0.8% 0.8% Rare No

These top 20 cards contribute 47.0% of the box's total Expected Value.

Understanding EV Calculation & Trends

The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:

  • Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
  • Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
  • Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
  • Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices

Variance & Confidence

The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.

EV Trend Analysis

Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:

  • Green values indicate an increase.
  • Red values indicate a decrease.
  • Gray indicates no significant change.