AFR

Adventures in the Forgotten Realms

Adventures in the Forgotten Realms Collector Booster

▲ +0.03%
since last update
Box EV $203.93 ±$48.79 Pack EV $16.99 ±$14.09 Packs per Box 12 Last Updated Jun 7, 2025

Key Statistics

Box Expected Value: $203.93
$155 $204 $253
Pack Expected Value: $16.99
Deviation: ±$14.09
Packs per Box: 12

EV Trend

Percent Change:
▲ +0.03%
Dollar Change:
▲ +$0.06

Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales

Sale Price (S): $0.00
Seller Fee: -$0.00 (0.00%)
Net EV After Fees: $0.00
Fee Visualization

Top-20 Value Contributors

#Card Name$/Pack$/Box% Pack EV% Box EVRarityFoil?
1 Old Gnawbone $1.27 $15.24 7.5% 7.5% Mythic No
2 Tiamat $1.14 $13.64 6.7% 6.7% Mythic No
3 Teleportation Circle $0.61 $7.27 3.6% 3.6% Rare No
4 Delina, Wild Mage $0.54 $6.46 3.2% 3.2% Rare No
5 Unknown Card $0.43 $5.20 2.5% 2.5% Unknown No
6 Unknown Card $0.39 $4.67 2.3% 2.3% Unknown No
7 Circle of Dreams Druid $0.38 $4.53 2.2% 2.2% Rare No
8 Old Gnawbone $0.38 $4.50 2.2% 2.2% Mythic Yes
9 Unknown Card $0.33 $3.92 1.9% 1.9% Unknown No
10 Unknown Card $0.33 $4.01 2.0% 2.0% Unknown No
11 Tiamat $0.30 $3.56 1.8% 1.8% Mythic Yes
12 Unknown Card $0.24 $2.94 1.4% 1.4% Unknown No
13 Delina, Wild Mage $0.22 $2.68 1.3% 1.3% Rare Yes
14 Lolth, Spider Queen $0.21 $2.48 1.2% 1.2% Mythic No
15 Orb of Dragonkind $0.20 $2.39 1.2% 1.2% Rare No
16 Tasha's Hideous Laughter $0.20 $2.42 1.2% 1.2% Rare No
17 Guardian of Faith $0.19 $2.30 1.1% 1.1% Rare No
18 The Book of Exalted Deeds $0.19 $2.28 1.1% 1.1% Mythic No
19 Unknown Card $0.18 $2.21 1.1% 1.1% Unknown No
20 Hobgoblin Bandit Lord $0.17 $2.10 1.0% 1.0% Rare No

These top 20 cards contribute 46.5% of the box's total Expected Value.

Understanding EV Calculation & Trends

The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:

  • Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
  • Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
  • Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
  • Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices

Variance & Confidence

The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.

EV Trend Analysis

Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:

  • Green values indicate an increase.
  • Red values indicate a decrease.
  • Gray indicates no significant change.