AER

Aether Revolt

Aether Revolt Draft Booster

▼ -0.84%
since last update
Box EV $93.80 ±$17.27 Pack EV $2.61 ±$2.88 Packs per Box 36 Last Updated May 29, 2025

Key Statistics

Box Expected Value: $93.80
$77 $94 $111
Pack Expected Value: $2.61
Deviation: ±$2.88
Packs per Box: 36

EV Trend

Percent Change:
▼ -0.84%
Dollar Change:
▼ $-0.80

Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales

Sale Price (S): $0.00
Seller Fee: -$0.00 (0.00%)
Net EV After Fees: $0.00
Fee Visualization

Top-20 Value Contributors

#Card Name$/Pack$/Box% Pack EV% Box EVRarityFoil?
1 Walking Ballista $0.22 $7.99 8.5% 8.5% Rare No
2 Heroic Intervention $0.22 $8.01 8.5% 8.5% Rare No
3 Felidar Guardian $0.15 $5.49 5.9% 5.9% Uncommon No
4 Paradox Engine $0.11 $4.08 4.3% 4.3% Mythic No
5 Whir of Invention $0.08 $2.82 3.0% 3.0% Rare No
6 Fatal Push $0.07 $2.45 2.6% 2.6% Uncommon No
7 Disallow $0.05 $1.92 2.0% 2.0% Rare No
8 Rishkar's Expertise $0.04 $1.48 1.6% 1.6% Rare No
9 Sram, Senior Edificer $0.04 $1.37 1.5% 1.5% Rare No
10 Hope of Ghirapur $0.04 $1.36 1.4% 1.4% Rare No
11 Gifted Aetherborn $0.03 $1.04 1.1% 1.1% Uncommon No
12 Metallic Rebuke $0.03 $1.14 1.2% 1.2% Common No
13 Trophy Mage $0.03 $1.22 1.3% 1.3% Uncommon No
14 Implement of Combustion $0.03 $1.00 1.1% 1.1% Common No
15 Baral, Chief of Compliance $0.03 $0.98 1.1% 1.1% Rare No
16 Planar Bridge $0.03 $0.94 1.0% 1.0% Mythic No
17 Metallic Mimic $0.03 $1.11 1.2% 1.2% Rare No
18 Exquisite Archangel $0.03 $1.15 1.2% 1.2% Mythic No
19 Indomitable Creativity $0.03 $0.91 1.0% 1.0% Mythic No
20 Unbridled Growth $0.02 $0.60 0.6% 0.6% Common No

These top 20 cards contribute 50.1% of the box's total Expected Value.

Understanding EV Calculation & Trends

The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:

  • Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
  • Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
  • Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
  • Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices

Variance & Confidence

The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.

EV Trend Analysis

Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:

  • Green values indicate an increase.
  • Red values indicate a decrease.
  • Gray indicates no significant change.